r/britishcolumbia • • 4d ago

Community Only 338Canada updated Friday, October 9: Projected Seat count: 53 BCCP, 38 NDP, 2 Green (map in body)

Region CPBC 🔵 NDP 🟠 Green 🟢 Total
Lower Mainland 29 23 1 53
Nanaimo–Victoria 1 10 1 12
Okanagan 6 0 0 6
Interior and Rest of BC 17 5 0 22
Total 53 38 2 93
  • Lower Mainland: Relatively competitive, with the Conservatives leading by six seats. This region contains 57% of all seats.
  • Nanaimo–Victoria: Strongly NDP, with 10 of 12 seats.
  • Okanagan: All six seats favour the Conservatives.
  • Interior and Rest of BC: Strongly Conservative, with 17 of 22 seats.
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u/Brownguy_123 4d ago

Not from BC, but from Ontario, I just really enjoy following elections. It looks like Eby tried to take a page out of Doug Ford’s playbook.

Ford called an early election, framing himself as the best person to stand up to Trump. At the same time, the opposition was divided on the left. The Ontario Liberals had a new leader who barely had time to introduce herself to voters, while the NDP remained around where they were in the previous election. The Ontario Liberals and Ontario NDP vote split almost perfectly, helping Ford secure another majority.

Eby seems to have tried a similar strategy, but with a divided opposition on the right. He may have been banking on the BC Conservatives struggling to consolidate support under a new leader who had limited time to build name recognition. It also looks like the Trump factor is not as big as it was when Doug Ford called his election too.

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u/Salticracker 4d ago

Unless it's changed in the last couple of days, Trump isn't even top 10 in issues for voters in polls